Cleveland Holds 5.5-Point Edge Against Undefeated Wolves

The Cleveland Cavaliers enter Monday night's game as 5.5-point favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Tipoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Rocket Arena. The betting market sets the total points line at 231.5.

A projection model from SportsLine has simulated this specific matchup 10,000 times. The simulation projects a combined 236 points from both teams. That result would land on the over in 56% of the simulated games. The model has returned nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks since 2018.

The Timberwolves are 3-0 on the season and 2-0 on the road. They defeated the Toronto Raptors 117-94 on Sunday. Minnesota finished the 2025-26 season third in the Northwest Division with a 49-33 record. Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable due to knee injury management. He averages 28.7 points, five rebounds, and 3.3 assists in 31.3 minutes this season. Six Wolves players average at least 12 points per game.

The Cavaliers are 1-1 with a 1-0 record at home. Cleveland beat the Brooklyn Nets 125-121 on Saturday. The team finished second in the Central Division last season with a 52-30 record. Donovan Mitchell leads the Cavs in scoring, averaging 27 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists in 35.5 minutes across two starts. He also averages 1.5 steals and one block.

The over has hit in each of the last four meetings between these two teams. Minnesota has seen the over hit in five of its last eight games. Cleveland has seen the over hit in seven of its last ten matchups. The SportsLine model is currently 26-10 on top-rated spread picks in the NBA dating back to last season.